https://twitter.com/JominiW/status/1502529222656638979
> The Russians are assessed not to have enough combat power to seize Mariupol,
> they will continue to shell the city into submission.

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-march-11
> Russian forces are unlikely to seize Mariupol through a direct assault without a greater concentration of forces
> (which they remain unlikely to have the ability to assemble).
どっちも次の2点で一致してる
・ロシア軍にマリウポリを占領するだけの戦力がない
・砲撃で降伏を引き出そうとする
https://twitter.com/5chan_nel (5ch newer account)